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WSJ What’s News 13 min 6 speakers 8 chapters transcribed 1 month ago
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What new U.S. intelligence says about Russia testing NATO with a limited assault?

Luke Vargas 0:02
US intelligence finds that Russia's war in Ukraine might not stop Vladimir Putin from directly provoking NATO in the coming years. Plus, a New Mexico judge orders Meta to pay up to address social media's harm to kids, and we'll look at why President Trump's days-old deal to disarm Hamas is already in danger.
Anat Peled 0:23
Israel is suspicious. It doesn't believe that Hamas really intends to disarm, and Hamas doesn't believe that Israel's actually going to withdraw.
Luke Vargas 0:31
It's Friday, August 7th. I'm Luke Varkas for the Wall Street Journal, and here is the AM edition of What's News, the top headlines and business stories moving your world today. Russia could try to test NATO by launching a limited assault on an allied country within the next few years. That is the conclusion of new U.S. intelligence reports, and as national security reporter Lara Seligman explains, marks a shift from earlier in the year when US intelligence believed that Russian President Vladimir Putin wouldn't provoke NATO while he's still fighting in Ukraine.
Lara Seligman 1:09
Those assessments have recently changed as US officials believe Putin is becoming more desperate due to this war. This fear is compounded by concerns in the past couple months related to lower than comfortable levels of munitions stockpiles in the US. Some of these stockpiles were reduced after Russia invaded Ukraine in twenty twenty one when the Biden administration began rushing arms to Ukraine.

How are U.S. munitions shortages affecting preparedness for a possible Russian invasion?

Lara Seligman 1:38
But the recent expenditures in the Middle East of things like Patriot missiles, other air defense interceptors have contributed to extremely low stockpiles, particularly of long range weapons such as uh prism missiles and attackums.
Luke Vargas 1:54
The US would likely rely heavily on those sorts of weapons should Russia stage an actual land invasion along NATO's eastern flank. US intelligence ranks the likelihood of that most extreme scenario as low, though the risk gets higher with time. Spokesman for the Pentagon and NATO declined to discuss sensitive intelligence. A spokesperson for the Office of the Director of National Intelligence didn't respond to a request for comment. Meanwhile, President Trump has ordered new investigations into the disclosure of information about the Pentagon's munitions stockpiles in an escalation of his effort to battle damaging revelations about the Iran War. The White House has maintained that the U.S. has enough munitions to fight Tehran and world powers like Russia and China, but at the same time is threatening anyone leaking information on the issue.
Luke Vargas 2:41
We report that Trump has privately vented about reports on munitions levels to aides and cabinet officials, believing they would embolden Iran. Trump has tapped Deputy Defense Secretary Stephen Feinberg to increase munitions production, including by dangling incentives before the weapons industry. However, many recent agreements still require Congress to approve funding, requests that have remained in limbo on Capitol Hill since April.

Why is President Trump pushing new executive orders on birth‑right citizenship and munitions transparency?

Luke Vargas 3:06
And Trump signed a pair of executive orders yesterday that he says will crack down on birthright citizenship after the Supreme Court recently voided an order from the first day of his second term to end it outright. One of the new orders directs the State Department to not issue citizenship documents to babies born to several categories of parents, while the second called for state and DHS to take steps to limit so-called birth tourism, a practice that Trump spoke about in the Oval Office.
Donald J. Trump 3:33
Wealthy people are building businesses around birthright citizenship. That's not the way it's supposed to work. It's a disgrace. They're buying their way in and uh we're not gonna let it happen.
Luke Vargas 3:43
According to the second order, foreigners suspected of coming to the U.S. for birth tourism could have their visas canceled and face lifetime bans on returning. The new orders are likely to be challenged in court. Last week, the Board of Peace, the invitation-only coalition launched by President Trump this year, laid out a roadmap to disarm Hamas and get Israel out of Gaza. American officials then went on to announce that Hamas and other Palestinian militant groups had signed off on the plan.

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