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第一，2024年我们可能通过降息等货币政策工具，推动CPI温和上涨。第二，我个人认为，在2024年的中国资本市场上，新上市企业的数量不可能快速地增加。这意味着很多公司的发展和扩张，以及抵抗风险，将更有可能通过并购的方式来实现。大型企业将进入到“装备竞赛”的战略期，从一台压铸机开始，到好的投资标的物、好的渠道建设，好的资产并购等，都会成为大型公司竞争的核心战场。产业加剧整合、消费K型分化的变革过程中，中型企业需要重新思考自己在产业链上的存在价值，而小微企业需要摒弃成本优势，努力实现“微创新”。
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