Barbara Mellers
person
2 mentions
2 recordings
first heard Dec 2024
last heard 24 Mar
±0 this month
American psychologist and co‑leader of the Good Judgment Project
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newest first · ▶ plays the momentUnknownConspiracy Theories Exploring The Unseen · Predicting the Unpredictable_ Patterns in Global Events · 3:15 · 24 Mar
…While Barbara Mellers and Philip Tetlock point out that predicting uncertain global events remains challenging, they emphasize structured methodologies that can significantly enhance prediction accuracy.…
Lynne Thoman3 Takeaways™ · The Science and Skill of Superforecasting (#230) · 1:37 · Dec 2024
…The undisputed winner of the tournament was the Good Judgment Project, which was led by University of Pennsylvania professors Philip Tetlock and Barbara Mellers. Over four years, their forecasters answered 500 questions and made a million forecasts that were more accurate than even intelligence analysts who had access to classified data. My guest today is…
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