Good Judgment Project
nonprofit
2 mentions
1 recordings
first heard Dec 2024
last heard Dec 2024
±0 this month
Research project that won the U.S. intelligence forecasting tournament
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newest first · ▶ plays the momentLynne Thoman3 Takeaways™ · The Science and Skill of Superforecasting (#230) · 2:08 · Dec 2024
…He's the CEO of the Good Judgment Project, which is the group of forecasters who won the U.S. intelligence community's forecasting competition. And Warren is not only the CEO of the Good Judgment Project, he's also one of their top super forecasters. I'm excited to find out from Warren how super forecasters forecast and how we can all get better at forecast…
Lynne Thoman3 Takeaways™ · The Science and Skill of Superforecasting (#230) · 1:37 · Dec 2024
…The undisputed winner of the tournament was the Good Judgment Project, which was led by University of Pennsylvania professors Philip Tetlock and Barbara Mellers. Over four years, their forecasters answered 500 questions and made a million forecasts that were more accurate than even intelligence analysts who had access to classified data. My guest today is…
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