Manifold markets
service
3 mentions
2 recordings
first heard Feb 2026
last heard 18 Jul
±0 this month
Prediction‑market platform that hosts a “gas‑price” market used in the episode
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Moments
newest first · ▶ plays the momentJustin WolfersPlatypus Economics with Justin Wolfers · What Reese's Cups and Canadian Wildfires Can Teach Us About ... · 11:37 · 18 Jul
…It's interesting, by the way, that you should mention futures markets, because we did make a bet not all that long ago, a couple of months ago, on manifold markets, which is kind of like Kalshi and Polymarket, except no money's involved, about where gas prices would be.…
UnknownLatent Space: The AI Engineer Podcast · METR’s Joel Becker on exponential Time Horizon Evals, Thre... · 40:24 · 27 Feb
…Yeah, I'm good friends with the Manifold Markets co-founders.…
UnknownLatent Space: The AI Engineer Podcast · METR’s Joel Becker on exponential Time Horizon Evals, Thre... · 38:10 · 27 Feb
…So the secret, if you read this article about how I became the number one most profitable trader on Manifold, which sounds very nice and impressive.…
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