Akane Otani

speaker
1,333 appearances 33 recordings 1 series first heard Aug 2017 last heard Mar 2023

Akane Otani’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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Yeah, I mean, just all of the speculative activity that we've been seeing in the beginning of the year, I think really had a lot of very seasoned investors, very respected investors thinking that this is looking awfully like, you know, what conditions were like sort of in 99, 2000, where a lot of different asset prices are rising in tandem.
And it doesn't necessarily seem like the fundamentals are always there to back up this big rise in prices that we've been seeing.
And, you know, in this first quarter, we saw that not just with the stock market, but with things like cryptocurrencies and NFTs, non-fungible tokens and SPACs, you know, all sorts of things did really well, not to mention housing prices as well.
And so I think it is interesting that a lot of longer term investors, you know, I spoke to Jeremy Grantham, who actually predicted the bubble of 2000 and 2008.
You know, even people like he are saying this looks a lot like a bubble and I'm not exactly sure when it's going to pop, but it definitely feels dangerous.
We've definitely seen some signs that the amount of frenzied activity that we saw in January and February has tapered off.
And so it'll be interesting to see if we do, in fact, continue to see that trend or if we see a new resurgence of interest among retail traders.
These days, I think it doesn't take that much for a thinly traded stock to start taking off.
And so we haven't found that there's been another sort of GameStop
in the last couple of weeks.
But I wouldn't be surprised if, fast forward a little bit, we do end up hearing about something that is really heavily driven by individual investors.
Thanks for having me.
Now we're getting analysts suggesting that if the viral outbreak isn't contained in the first couple of months of the year, we could see GDP take a hit there.
It's because we've already seen stock markets around the world start the year on a pretty strong note.
So people had been saying before this virus outbreak actually even began that maybe the markets were sort of due for some kind of pullback.
And now that we see that the virus is spreading beyond China to several other countries, the number of cases is rising, it really introduces this element of uncertainty where people don't know yet just how serious it's going to get.
and how much of a toll it could take on economic growth.
especially at this point in the bull market.
I mean, we are in the middle of a year where investors were largely expecting kind of middling returns from the markets, nothing too spectacular.
And that was all sort of resting on this assumption that global growth was going to pick up modestly in the first half.
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