Alastair Crooke

speaker
458 appearances 1 recordings 1 series first heard Aug 2026 last heard 9 Aug

Alastair Crooke’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Aug 2026 with 1.

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of the Omani um
uh um shoreline um and exits that way uh by mining it.
So that one is effectively closed.
Uh in fact I think just this morning
A an Abu Dhabi tanker um wa tried to to use that exit and was attacked with missiles and damaged and has turned back.
So that is still not operating.
The northern uh route is uh under IRGC control.
I think s some vessels are g passing to China, but the amount of passages is is very few.
And so I think that what Trump will be faced with is the proposal that Iran controls Hormuz.
that it will control passage in and out, although
The passage, if you like, in may be administered by the Omanis under IRGC ultimate control.
In other words, all the details of vessels will have to be passed to the IRGC before they are allowed to enter um this um r route.
and and that uh that the the um the process is still going to be completely administered and it is going to be closed um and this is not part of the
the sort of negotiating teams remit but the um Maslis in in Tehran seems to be saying uh that they are going to produce a law that would forbid in any future time after the
Uh war is over.
uh that that shipping either from the United States or Israel will not be allowed passage uh through Homo's.
My understanding is none of this is going to come into operation according to the Iranians um until after an agreement.
After the war has ended, after it's been established that the ready is a ceasefire, that the blockade, the US blockade is lifted, after sanctions have been lifted on petroleum and oil products from Iran for export.
o only at that point um will it um these new regulations fully come i into being.
But there still hasn't been as my understanding, still hasn't been put to the Supreme Leader uh and um passed by um uh the committee that supervises the security.
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