Alex Lee

speaker
101 appearances 1 recordings 1 series first heard Oct 2022 last heard Oct 2022

Alex Lee’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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So I think it's something that has to be done very, very carefully and thoughtfully in terms of what you think the inputs you're using, like zip code, are actually capturing, and then also what kind of decisions are going to be made from that model that might we may or may
not want um socioeconomic status to play into those.
No, I think that's yeah, that's correct.
I think it's um
It's good.
I think it's hard to get.
In some sense, models that do too well.
Uh, like above 0.9, you kind of question like, what exactly are they predicting?
Is it even a useful model if you can really tell that well?
That sounds.
Well, so our model is what we're calling a comprehensive prognostic index.
So it predicts both actually three outcomes.
It predicts mortality, it predicts time to walking disability, so time until someone can't walk across a room, and time to ADL disability.
And so this is really important because a lot of indices predict mortality in different populations, but there's very few that predict disability.
There's some that predict disability for patients with stroke or other, you know, very serious diseases, but not a model that predicts in the general population of older adults.
Um, and this is important because um
A lot of older adults actually care more about their functional abilities than their time to death.
And I think that's largely because it influences so much about their quality of life and you know how independent they feel in their life, whether they're still able to go out and
take their grandchildren on a walk, or if they, you know, need help cooking dinner every night, things like that, um, that really changed kind of their life circumstances.
And so we wanted to create a model that's going to reflect that sort of risk and what it also means for their families and financial decisions.
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