Alexander Osipovich

speaker
528 appearances 11 recordings 1 series first heard Dec 2017 last heard Feb 2025

Alexander Osipovich’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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Is the Fed going to cut interest rates?
Or who is Trump going to appoint to such and such a cabinet position?
Will that person get confirmed?
by the Senate.
There is also pop culture markets.
For instance, you can bet on the Oscars.
There's also interest in sports.
For a very long time, the prediction markets that were allowed to serve U.S.
customers did not offer any kind of sports trades because it was seen as being illegal.
There are also some edgy bets that have drawn controversy.
Polymarket, because it's offshore and has this crypto bro audience, is often pushing the envelopes of good taste.
They had a lot of bets on the wars in the Middle East between Israel and Hamas and Israel and Lebanon.
You could –
bet on whether Israel would invade or not, or whether there would be a strike against Iran and so on.
During the LA wildfires, Polly Market came under some criticism for allowing betting contracts on the spread of the wildfires, when they would be contained, if they would reach certain places.
There were critics who thought that was basically a ghoulish betting on death, right?
Polly Market said that essentially this is a
subject of interest to the general public, and our platform produces predictions, probabilities, and it moves in real time their social value to this, and they use that to justify their wildfire markets.
Prediction markets are basically exchanges for betting on future events.
And typically what they offer you is a yes or no question that you can bet on.
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