Alexander Osipovich
speaker
97 appearances
7 recordings
2 series
first heard Dec 2024
last heard 28 Aug
Alexander Osipovich’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
Trend
recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 5 in all, peaking in Aug 2026 with 2.
Appearances
We can definitely infer that this is a priority area for prosecutors.
Clearly, there's been a lot of interest in polymarket and a lot of focus on the potential risk of insider trading.
I think the concern would be, can they really get a handle on everything that's going on?
There have been a lot of allegations out there about other potential insider trades or trades that at least look kind of suspicious.
Do they have the bandwidth to investigate those all?
And will all this ultimately have a deterrent effect?
insider trading on prediction markets is how exactly to define the type of people who have access to insider information with a security as insider trading.
It's pretty clear that executives of the company know what's going on there.
But here you could have a soldier who knows about a US military operation.
You could have a kind of mid-level employee who has access to a database with company info.
You can think of all sorts of scenarios where a friend or a spouse of somebody who's got privileged information could use that to trade on Polymarket.
Exactly.
One popular area for betting on Polymarket over the past year has been the release of new AI models.
The Alpha Raccoon account that was used by Michele Spagnuolo, who was arrested yesterday, also had some trades earlier that drew suspicion because the account was betting on the release of Google's new AI model.
When people noticed that not only was this account betting on
Search results and scoring, you know, million dollar paydays, but also betting on Google AI release dates.
There was some suspicion back then that it was a Google insider of some sort.
So, for example, Polymarket has a market on whether the U.S.
will strike Iran by the end of June of this year.
That jumped after the attack on Venezuela this weekend.
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