Anne Tergesen
speaker
4,485 appearances
83 recordings
1 series
first heard Jul 2017
last heard Feb 2025
Anne Tergesen’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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There's pretty longstanding behavioral research that shows that the more often you look at your 401k, the more often you look at the balance, the lower your long-term returns are likely to be.
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And this has to do with the volatility in the markets, you know, just the normal volatility
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So with volatility, you know, you do see gains and you see losses.
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But for most people, on average, the pain of a loss is a more prominent feeling than the pleasure you get from a gain.
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So people tend to be more risk averse or loss averse in general.
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If you check every day, you're going to see markets post declines on average 46 percent of the time.
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Whereas if you forego the temptation to check every day and you check, say, once a year on an annual basis, you're only going to see the markets down about 25 percent of the time.
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And if you really are good about not checking and you don't check over 10 years, you're only going to see a 6% chance of decline.
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So the idea is that the more often you check, the more likely you are to see bad news.
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And this causes people to be more fearful about stocks.
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So if you have a 30-year horizon, say you don't need that money for 30 years, but you check the market every day,
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you're going to have more anxiety about stocks in all likelihood because you're going to see declines more often.
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So you're going to invest less in stocks and you're going to have lower returns over the long run.
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Well, there's a variety of opinions on this.
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One of the behavioral economists who I spoke to who actually conducted this research, you know, he advises people to check as infrequently as possible until you get to retirement.
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And then you have this sort of necessity of checking because, you know, you need to know how much you have in order to figure out how to plan for retirement.
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So as retirement gets closer, you need to
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sort of figure out a way to check your balance more often and for planning purposes.
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But the 401 record keepers that I spoke to, Vanguard and other companies, generally suggest looking periodically, say once a year at a minimum.
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Vanguard says, you know, maybe once a quarter if you feel like you can handle it.
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