Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
I'll bring in a question here from Brendan, James, because I think it's very relevant from a bunch of conversations that I had on the sidelines.
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
And he asks...
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
What is a defensive stock these days for when times look tough?
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
I remember being told to view defensive as when the going gets tough, the tough go smoking, drinking, gambling, eating fast food and end up in hospital.
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
But all the stocks in these sectors on the ASX, so we're talking Aristocrat, Collins Foods, Cochlear, CSL, Domino's, Endeavor, Star, Metcash, Woolworths, etc., seem to be shaky at best.
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
Do defensive stocks still exist or is it just a label companies will out if the economy gets worse?
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
What's yours?
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
I think investors are rethinking how defensive some of these companies' earnings actually are.
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
So if you look at that list, I mean, some of them are just on the wrong side of changes in society that seem like they're going to be hard to slow, like Domino's Pizza, for example.
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
I mean, how many $5 and $10 pizzas and people shopping for $5 and $10 pizza, that cheaper end of the pizza spectrum, how many of those are out there?
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
I'd argue there's a lot fewer than there used to be for exactly the same reasons we spoke about in the interest rates category.
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
James, it feels like there's more money out there.
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
Endeavor, people are drinking less.
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
It owns Dan Murphy's, BWS and a bunch of pubs.
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
Alcohol consumption is on the way down.
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
It's a global trend.
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
That's just a fact.
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
Star Entertainment, you've got governments that are clamping down on casino operators, making it really hard for them to make the money that they used to.
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
How defensive are those earnings now?
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
So I think, you know, for a variety of reasons, just the companies that had defensive qualities, maybe they're just not as defensive as we always thought.