Anton Korinek

speaker

180 appearances 1 recordings 1 series first heard Feb 2026 last heard 27 Feb

Anton Korinek’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Feb 2026 with 1.

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Hard Fork · Is A.I. Eating the Labor Market? + The Latest on the Pentagon, OpenClaw and Alpha School · 27 Feb 2026 podcast

So I do have the impression that taking the notion of something like artificial general intelligence really seriously is still a fringe perspective in the economics profession.

You're right that there are more people coming around to it, but it's still a small and increasingly loud minority.

I also believe that if we seriously reach AGI, that's not going to be the end, but it's going to be the beginning of a really significant transformation of the economy.

And in that respect, I'm probably even more on the fringe of where my fellow economists are.

Yeah, so the first thing that we found is there's going to be a whole bunch of feedback loops that will mutually reinforce each other.

So let's say we do reach this point of recursive self-improvement on the software side.

AI systems that can do this are going to

feed into the research process on the hardware side and are going to accelerate hardware research, the technological advances on that front.

Moreover, they are also going to accelerate research in anything else where cognitive work, where smart things can be helpful.

Let's say, for example, unlocking additional cheap energy sources like fusion and so on.

and creating better robots.

And all of these things feed into each other because those advances in turn help the AI advance more.

And if you put it all together, you can get vastly super exponential growth.

In our model, it is hyperbolic growth leading to a singularity

Physics tells us that a literal singularity can't actually happen because there's going to be some resource limit at some point.

But what I expect is that these feedback loops in the real world would lead to massive growth until some new bottleneck that maybe we haven't quite identified yet will be reached.

You know, a couple years ago, I've decided, well, I will just be blunt about my beliefs about this.

And I am telling my graduate students that I'm not 100% sure if there will still be jobs for economic researchers by the time that they graduate.

I'm crossing my fingers for them.

I hope that there will be.

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