Arthur Hayes

speaker
1,864 appearances 4 recordings 3 series first heard Jan 2026 last heard 22 Jun

Arthur Hayes’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

Trend

recordings per month · last 12 months
2 · Jan OctJan 26AprJulnow

Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 4 in all, peaking in Jan 2026 with 2.

Appearances

newest first · ▶ plays the moment
So if somebody hears this, they're saying, I didn't know anything about this.
What, you just go buy the hype token?
You go and you buy stuff on the market?
Explain how you're thinking about, okay, you've got this thesis.
How do you profit from it?
Prediction markets are also coming to Wall Street.
We've seen NYSE make some big bets there.
Do you think that the prediction markets can be as successful on Wall Street as they are off?
Yeah, like one of the things I've been surprised by with the prediction markets is like sports gambling obviously has gotten a bunch of fanfare, et cetera, and no shock there.
But I would have thought that, hey, I want to buy Tesla stock today because I think they're going to beat on deliveries.
But rather than make the bet on the stock, if I could just isolate that economic data point and I can just bet on is Tesla going to beat on deliveries or not, like as an investor, right?
That's way less risky.
It's like I'm just underwriting this one thing.
I'm not also thinking about what's going to happen with revenue and EPS.
And is Elon going to say something on the press conference and this whole thing?
And so I would have thought that there'd be a lot more adoption in the like TradFi world.
It doesn't seem like that's really happened yet, but maybe it's because the venue is not a place that they're used to trading on.
And so if NYSE launches this stuff, then maybe that would change.
I've never told you this before, but because I feel like you're the perfect person, I'm not going to go do this.
So if somebody does it, I just want to be able to invest.
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