Asjylyn Loder

speaker

56 appearances 2 recordings 1 series first heard Mar 2018 last heard Jul 2018

Asjylyn Loder’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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Does it create higher correlations among stocks?

Are stocks that are in indexes more volatile?

And these are questions that a lot of researchers are looking at.

Thank you.

Yes.

And of course, despite a long history of failure, everyone wants to try to time the market.

And recently, Bank of America came up with a set of 19 different metrics.

They went through dozens, and they found 19 that generally presage a market downturn.

And what they did is they made a composite of those 19 different factors.

And when it's 80% triggered, they find that bear market is not that far away.

And right now, we're at 68%.

Well, we're starting to approach that 80% threshold.

And generally, in the past, that 80% threshold has been met some period of time before the bear market.

So it gives you time to get out.

And of course, the trouble here is you get some of your best returns in the late stages of a bull market.

So no one wants to miss out on that.

But no one wants to still be in when it's too late.

Exactly.

And that's why Bank of America came up with this set of different ways to sort of measure whether or not a bear market was imminent.

And it was funny, too, the things that turned out to be failures at predicting a bear market.

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