Astro Teller

speaker

540 appearances 1 recordings 1 series first heard Jul 2026 last heard 28 Jul

Astro Teller’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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recordings per month · last 12 months

Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Jul 2026 with 1.

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You have been taught since you were five.

We have all been taught since we were five years old to play the short game, to get an A plus on the test, to not say you don't know the answer,

All of these things, which are actually exactly the opposite behaviors from what would actually drive radical innovation.

But that's adaptive, sadly perhaps, in our world.

And so X has worked really hard to create a microcosm where those reinforcements don't exist, where there's a different set of reinforcements.

towards the habits that are more healthy for innovation.

Can I get on a tiny soapbox about risk for a second?

You are absolutely right.

The whole world is obsessed with getting risk as close to zero as possible.

which is rational, if the size of the prize doesn't really matter and you'll be punished if you don't get a success.

That's why the whole world is so busy doing small, nearly meaningless, incremental steps most of the time.

Because they feel like they can't afford as individuals and as subgroups to not succeed.

And once you have to get the risk to zero, you basically have thrown away almost all the upside you can get.

So let's play a game.

Choice A, choice B. Choice A, you can give a million dollars of value to your business this year, guaranteed.

Or choice B, you can give a billion dollars of value to your business this year, but it's not guaranteed.

It's one chance in a hundred.

So choice A, million guaranteed.

Choice B, billion, one chance in 100.

I will choose B. You're going to choose B because B has 10 times the expected utility of choice A. It has an expected utility of 10 million.

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