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Azeem Azhar

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
6838 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

We didn't really like it.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

It sort of fell a bit flat.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

But what OpenAI did and what the researchers did is they found a new approach.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

They found that approach of reasoning, that's thinking at inference time, the point at which you or I might put a query into the chatbot.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

And those reasoning models, 01, 03, 04,

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

performed really, really well.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

I think it was a real milestone moment in how an emerging technology starts to improve.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

Now, if you've used Gemini Pro, which Google released an update to a few days ago, it really feels like there's something going on beyond either the reasoning model approach or the large language model.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

Of course, Gemini Pro is using both of those techniques.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

But it feels like there's a new technology sitting behind that because Gemini 3 is really well grounded in the complexities of the real world.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

And perhaps that's a hint to the kind of world model that Demis Hassabis has alluded to.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

So what we often see with these exponential technologies is that from a distance, they look like, you know, one planet.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

single smooth curve, but in fact, there are a series of overlapping curves of different technologies and different approaches that ultimately give you that exponential.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

Now, it's not to say that the foundation models companies are not pursuing scale.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

And what Google proved with Gemini was that scale still works at each stage of building these models.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

It's just that it's not the only thing that is going on.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

So the overlapping S-curves, which I explain in the book, starting to be present and be felt within these chatbots that many of us are using every day.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

But that's not just...

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

The end of the story, it's visible elsewhere.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

Think about the chips.