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Balaji Srinivasan

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
555 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Balaji: The Fed Does Invisibly What Lenin Did With Guns โ€” And You're Not Supposed to Notice | Impact Theory W/ Tom Bilyeu & Balaji

This is the first really important graph.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Balaji: The Fed Does Invisibly What Lenin Did With Guns โ€” And You're Not Supposed to Notice | Impact Theory W/ Tom Bilyeu & Balaji

Do you see this graph?

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Balaji: The Fed Does Invisibly What Lenin Did With Guns โ€” And You're Not Supposed to Notice | Impact Theory W/ Tom Bilyeu & Balaji

You see it says newspaper advertising revenue adjusted for inflation?

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Balaji: The Fed Does Invisibly What Lenin Did With Guns โ€” And You're Not Supposed to Notice | Impact Theory W/ Tom Bilyeu & Balaji

Yep.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Balaji: The Fed Does Invisibly What Lenin Did With Guns โ€” And You're Not Supposed to Notice | Impact Theory W/ Tom Bilyeu & Balaji

So let's call the newspapers a proxy for Democrats.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Balaji: The Fed Does Invisibly What Lenin Did With Guns โ€” And You're Not Supposed to Notice | Impact Theory W/ Tom Bilyeu & Balaji

because they're 90% Democrats or what have you in terms of journalists.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Balaji: The Fed Does Invisibly What Lenin Did With Guns โ€” And You're Not Supposed to Notice | Impact Theory W/ Tom Bilyeu & Balaji

Their peak was 2000.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Balaji: The Fed Does Invisibly What Lenin Did With Guns โ€” And You're Not Supposed to Notice | Impact Theory W/ Tom Bilyeu & Balaji

People, I think, in retrospect will say peak America was 2000, 2001, right before 9-11.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Balaji: The Fed Does Invisibly What Lenin Did With Guns โ€” And You're Not Supposed to Notice | Impact Theory W/ Tom Bilyeu & Balaji

So their peak was here, and then they kind of flattened and then crashed after the financial crisis.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Balaji: The Fed Does Invisibly What Lenin Did With Guns โ€” And You're Not Supposed to Notice | Impact Theory W/ Tom Bilyeu & Balaji

And look at how Google's revenue and Facebook's revenue, the green chart, just go whoosh like this.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Balaji: The Fed Does Invisibly What Lenin Did With Guns โ€” And You're Not Supposed to Notice | Impact Theory W/ Tom Bilyeu & Balaji

Yes, that's right.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Balaji: The Fed Does Invisibly What Lenin Did With Guns โ€” And You're Not Supposed to Notice | Impact Theory W/ Tom Bilyeu & Balaji

So Google and Facebook start going vertical in the late 2000s, early 2010s.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Balaji: The Fed Does Invisibly What Lenin Did With Guns โ€” And You're Not Supposed to Notice | Impact Theory W/ Tom Bilyeu & Balaji

And that's because the financial crisis in 2008 caused a shock, which forced people to do more with less.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Balaji: The Fed Does Invisibly What Lenin Did With Guns โ€” And You're Not Supposed to Notice | Impact Theory W/ Tom Bilyeu & Balaji

And they forced them to look at what could do that and say the one big part was looking at digital deflation, which was the internet.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Balaji: The Fed Does Invisibly What Lenin Did With Guns โ€” And You're Not Supposed to Notice | Impact Theory W/ Tom Bilyeu & Balaji

And ads are one piece, classifieds are another.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Balaji: The Fed Does Invisibly What Lenin Did With Guns โ€” And You're Not Supposed to Notice | Impact Theory W/ Tom Bilyeu & Balaji

There's many other pieces of this.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Balaji: The Fed Does Invisibly What Lenin Did With Guns โ€” And You're Not Supposed to Notice | Impact Theory W/ Tom Bilyeu & Balaji

This is just one very quantitative chart that shows the scale of the disruption to a very important Democrat stronghold.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Balaji: The Fed Does Invisibly What Lenin Did With Guns โ€” And You're Not Supposed to Notice | Impact Theory W/ Tom Bilyeu & Balaji

Okay.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Balaji: The Fed Does Invisibly What Lenin Did With Guns โ€” And You're Not Supposed to Notice | Impact Theory W/ Tom Bilyeu & Balaji

Then in 2010, the same thing was happening to the Republicans because the same financial stress after the financial crisis pushed people to do more with less, and they looked overseas to China, and that was the moment at which Chinese manufacturing flipped Republican manufacturing.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Balaji: The Fed Does Invisibly What Lenin Did With Guns โ€” And You're Not Supposed to Notice | Impact Theory W/ Tom Bilyeu & Balaji

Mm-hmm.