Ben Axelrod

And I don't see any situation where the Ravens win this game.

Yeah, I think this line opened at four and a half, and I'm not surprised it's trending the other way.

So my method when it comes to picking games is sometimes it's gut feel, sometimes it's something as stupid as this team coming off a win, this team coming off a loss.

Some games I have a legitimate angle for, and usually with the Browns games, my angle is it's the Browns.

I'm picking against the Browns.

Smart.

But I have an angle here, and it's that the Browns are the first team

to come back from overseas and face a team that's coming off its buy.

And so the Browns, for whatever reason, when you go overseas, the Browns just played in London against the Vikings.

You can elect to have your buy week the following week.

For whatever reason, the Browns chose not to have their buy week this week.

So they're coming back from their buy, and they're going to face the Steelers on the road who are coming off their own buy.

And so I think when you look at that, you look at the state of the Browns, they just traded one of their starting cornerbacks in Greg Newsome.

This is clearly a team, you know, that's in full-on rebuild mode.

They just traded their week one starter to a division rival in Joe Flacco, if that tells you anything about the state of this franchise.

So I liked this better at four and a half, picking the Steelers.

I'll still take it at anything under a touchdown.

So I'll take the Steelers minus six and a half here.

I think this is a...

I've seen this spot for the Browns in Pittsburgh, and I know how it usually goes.