Ben Carlson

speaker

1,555 appearances 4 recordings 4 series first heard Apr 2026 last heard 11 Jun

Ben Carlson’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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recordings per month · last 12 months

Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 4 in all, peaking in Jun 2026 with 2.

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The Rational Reminder Podcast · Ben Carlson: Investing at All-Time Highs | #412 · 4 Jun 2026 podcast

You can have a seven-figure portfolio and have the ability to take a lot of risk.

But you might say...

I don't want to because I already won the game.

And so that squishy part, the willingness, that's the hard part that is really hard to verify and put a calculation or a formula on.

And for a lot of people, there is no one.

It comes down to like really knowing yourself.

And that can be hard to do.

Yes.

My least favorite analogy of the stock market, all except rollercoaster, because it is kind of a rollercoaster sometimes.

But the casino, I'm a blackjack player, I don't know about you guys.

I grew up in Northern Michigan.

We had a lot of the reservation casinos.

So I could go in, I was like 18.

I loved it.

Me and my friends would go on Friday nights, we'd play blackjack.

and the longer we sat at the table the worse our odds were because the house has the odds in their favor so the longer you sit at the table from a probability perspective the higher your odds of walking out there a loser it's the opposite with the stock market the odds show that over a one day period it's almost a coin flip it's kind of funny it's like 53 or 54 percent of all trading days in the u.s stock market are positive so the other 46 percent or so are negative

Then you extend your time horizon.

And since 1950, it's like 80% of all one-year periods are positive.

98% of all seven-year periods.

So the longer you stay in the stock market casino, the better your odds of walking away a winner.

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