Ben Eisen

speaker
1,467 appearances 35 recordings 1 series first heard Jul 2017 last heard Nov 2024

Ben Eisen’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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If you think about when Amazon went public in 1997, it was a very tiny company. matched
Now, when you look at other tech giants that go public, Facebook went public in 2012 and it was many times the size of Amazon. matched
You see these companies are getting bigger and bigger in the private markets before they go public. matched
That really is a result of the fact that companies really can access a lot of their funding needs without going through the IPO process. matched
Well, research has shown that it's actually gotten more expensive to just complete the IPO process itself. matched
So that's one factor to consider. matched
And then getting back to that quarterly earnings report and sort of queuing up the market for matched
what to expect from earnings each quarter, that's another aspect of it that can kind of discourage companies from going public. matched
Your Money Briefing. matched
Yeah, definitely. matched
We look at this model by a Spanish bank called BBVA, and they track financial and economic indicators. matched
And the model that they produce shows that the possibilities of a recession arriving in 12 months' time have climbed slightly. matched
It's still very low, and it's not suggesting any imminent recession, but you have a matched
A 16% probability of a recession now up from just about 5% in January. matched
So it's this sort of slow creep higher in expectations of a recession. matched
Yeah, I think that one of the things that this model shows is that the economic cycle is getting old. matched
It's been going on for a number of years now, and now it's continuing to heat up. matched
But it's worth remembering that years into an economic cycle, things can take a turn. matched
Yeah, I don't think you can put the cart before the horse here. matched
You've had a lot of markets volatility this year, and that's continued into June. matched
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