Ben Horowitz
speaker
3,643 appearances
14 recordings
1 series
first heard Oct 2024
last heard 15 Jan
Ben Horowitz’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 3 in all, peaking in Nov 2025 with 2.
Appearances
The Ben & Marc Show · New AI Policy Update on Safety, Censorship & Unexpected Risks · 6 Nov 2024
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And you have takeoff where it becomes like this super all powerful, all knowing, godlike thing.
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There's a massive distance between those two things.
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Uh and the history of AI has been, it turns out to be much more narrow than you think, uh, in terms of what it can do.
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uh even though like you know we've made amazing progress and so forth, it still like is a lot more specific in many ways and will likely continue to be more specific in the area of self improvement than one thinks.
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I mean if you look at the work that's going on in the field on self-improvement, it's not
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re-architect myself entirely and you know, come up with like this genius machine.
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It's like little things to make more iterations on reasoning and in these kinds of things, which aren't really down the path for super takeoff.
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And then you don't have enough GPUs and then you don't have enough power and then you don't have enough cooling and and and
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I'm pretty comfortable, you know, based on my knowledge going like it's it's probably unlikely not to be like a one step kaboom.
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Nope.
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Right.
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Yeah.
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If you and then if you look at like the improvement from GPT uh 2.0 to GPT three to three point five, and then compare that from like three point five to four.
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you know, we really slowed down in terms of the amount of improvement.
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And the thing to note on that is the GPU increase was comparable.
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So we're increasing GPUs at the same like rate, but we're not getting the intelligence improvements at all out of it.
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And that's, you know, look there, you know, we're running out of data and this and that.
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And there, you know, there's a lot of things behind that.
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constraint.
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It reminds me of E Mycin, remember the the old uh expert system that did medical diagnosis?
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