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Brad Gerstner

👤 Person
1234 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

This year, NVIDIA will do 10x that at roughly $210, $230 billion, and AMD will do $33 billion.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

Not much more than they were doing when the companies were tied in 2022.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

So NVIDIA has captured nearly 100% of the incremental AI data center revenues over the course of the last two and a half years.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

And I think there's this notion that somehow NVIDIA just popped out this special AI chip.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

But I think if you listen to Jensen, understand, study the company, it's because they have this ecosystem of software, networking, extreme co-design, the unit of compute is no longer the chip, right?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

It's the entire data center, which is composed of five to 10 different chips.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

Performance per watt, right?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

Power being the constrained resource here is everything.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

And NVIDIA has just crushed the competition.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

So now put yourself in the shoes of Lisa.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

Right.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

And she's clearly not on the wave.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

This tsunami has come.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

Jensen's riding it.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

He's capturing 100 percent of the wave and she's not even yet on the wave.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

Her MI350 was just not competitive.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

And so they have one shot.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

Either the MI450 gets adopted and they get back into the game.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

Right.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

Or they're out.