Brian Arcese

speaker

73 appearances 1 recordings 1 series first heard Jul 2026 last heard 20 Jul

Brian Arcese’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Jul 2026 with 1.

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FEAR & GREED | Business News · Q+A: Why oil prices are moving faster than the facts · 20 Jul 2026 podcast

It's just...

The fact that it would be, quote unquote, open doesn't mean that traffic would return to the same level that it was at previously the very next day.

The second piece is certainly that the infrastructure in the region, whether it's damaged and needs to be repaired, which obviously takes time, but to be honest, even if it isn't damaged but has been shuttered,

It does take time to bring it back online.

It's not as simple as turning off and on a light switch, for example.

So it would take at least one to two quarters, I think at the bare, bare minimum, to bring capacity coming out of the strait to what it was previously.

And that's basically all things being equal and that capacity wanting to and willing to go back in and out of the strait.

I think that investors from owning energy equities, for example, within a diversified portfolio does offer investors a hedge against geopolitical risk, which, as we've seen, not only, to be honest, over the past year, but over the past handful of years, by geopolitical risk.

has been increasing.

Interestingly enough, if we look at the energy sector within a global equity portfolio, the weight had really been crowded out by AI and big tech, for example.

So even in a global equity portfolio, the weight of energy within an index had come down as low as sort of 4%.

that's incredibly low for a commodity that is so widely required to keep the global economy running.

So it's sensible to have a meaningful portion of one's portfolio, clearly different for every investor, but whether that's 5%, 10% or 15% even,

in the energy sector, not only as a hedge against these disruptions that can come and in all likelihood will continue to come through time, but also because many of these equities deliver strong cash flow, even in the absence of these shocks.

Many high quality energy equities deliver great cash flows, even with oil in the 60 to 70 dollar range.

So you're being paid to invest there anyway.

Yes.

It's a great question.

And we think about it two ways.

So if you have

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