Carlos Vilalta
speaker
21 appearances
2 recordings
1 series
first heard Nov 2014
last heard Jan 2015
Carlos Vilalta’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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Appearances
And his number?
39,222.
This is the number that we got from our new and actually the first time that we conduct a census on education, on elementary education in Mexico at the beginning of this 2014.
And this number represents the number of teachers when the census was being conducted and the interviewers were asking the general directors, other teachers and the students who these persons were.
They were actually not known in these schools.
Very simple.
At the beginning of the census, when they were planning on how to conduct the census, the National Institute of Statistics obviously contacted the Ministry of Education.
And among the things that the National Institute of Statistics got from the Ministry of Education was the payroll, basically the list of teachers that receive a salary or a monthly paycheck in each of the schools at the school level.
The surveyors or the interviewers of the National Institute of Statistics, they went through the list systematically and they were asking the people in the schools if they knew these individuals and nobody, absolutely nobody, knew who these persons are.
You would say, well, 39,222 is a lot of people.
It is, but as a proportion, it's not that big.
It's just 1.5%.
Surely all of these phantom teachers have had their pay stopped immediately, haven't they?
Theoretically, of course, in a rational world, the Minister of Education would have to adjust this payroll, but we don't know if that happened.
From 1997 to 2011, we have about a 90% conviction rate.
So if you get arrested for a homicide crime, there's a chance of 9 in 10 to actually be convicted.
The problem here is how many of them get arrested.
It is really rare to find a murderer being arrested in the end and being in jail for a homicide crime is just 2% chance, which is statistically significant.
What you have is basically a statistical anomaly.
When you look historically at the trend, you see that these variations...
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