Commodore Steve Jermy
speaker
516 appearances
1 recordings
1 series
first heard Jul 2026
last heard 20 Jul
Commodore Steve Jermy’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Jul 2026 with 1.
Appearances
And I suspect that that will create a very different political atmosphere in the United States if you've got very significant price increases and you're seeing lots of damage being done to the global economy.
So my suspicion is that that's the thing which might bring the Iran war to a closure.
I can't say for sure.
The interesting thing as well will be to see the extent to which, if the situation were to be improved between the United States on the one hand and China and Russia on the other hand, both China and Russia could actually have a hand in helping to bring that war to a close.
What's for sure?
is that unless the United States is willing to deploy significant land troops, and when I say significant, we're talking tens, hundreds of thousands, because nothing else is going to make a difference, then the war cannot be won militarily.
And we know, I don't think I'm over-guessing to say that there's no political appetite in the United States to deploy land forces into the Iranian war.
I think as regards the...
russia ukraine well that's a more difficult one to call um my guess uh is that what you what putin will be thinking about will be about the coming economic crisis in europe because one of the things that he could be saying to himself is okay i could respond um by as the europeans start to ratchet up pressure on me but actually i can see what's coming so by the time this economic crisis hits europe
And at that stage, the Europeans will be recognised finally that they simply can't afford the weapons, because they're actually tipping into recession.
I mean, arguably, Germany's already in recession.
I think both Britain and France probably are on the edge of it.
But suddenly, they're in...
deep economic trouble.
And the last thing they want to do is to actually invite their countries to invest 5% of their GDP in fighting a war, which by this stage, they'll hopefully rise, cannot be won.
If that happens, then I would like to think that it could be brought to a close by the end of the year if the recession hits.
There's a slightly sort of weird way to think about it, perhaps.
If it were to be diplomacy, a lot will depend, I think, on, again, it might depend on the midterms, it might depend on how the neocons see it, it might depend on the E3 and their policies.
But sooner or later, people I'm sure are going to recognize that the war cannot be won.
The one other thing that could bring it to a close would be a change in policy by Russia, because the alternative to striking Europe, and I still do not think that's off the table, even though it's in the scenario, the alternative could be a move on Kiev, an Arbor move on Kiev.
Showing 461–480 of 516 · page 24 of 26
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