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David McCloskey

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
1821 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

And then just this Friday,

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

Again, on Truth Social, he thanks Iranian leaders for calling off mass executions, hangings, which Trump has been very focused on throughout the crisis.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

So there's this, I think, massive question kind of hanging over the unrest, which is, at some point, might the U.S.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

strike Iran militarily and cripple or attempt to cripple its military security apparatus, the institutions that it's using?

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

to crack down.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

And that's been hanging over this entire thing.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

I think it still is, but at this point, it looks a bit like the president was stringing Iranian protesters along.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

There was a round in...

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

2022, following the death of a young Iranian woman named Masa Amiri in state custody, just an absolutely tragic and brutal situation.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

There was another set of protests in 2019, following a massive spike in fuel prices.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

That round had spread to over 20 cities, led to maybe 2,000 people being killed, hundreds of banks destroyed.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

There were also protests in 2009 over the results of Iran's presidential election.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

So protest is not uncommon in

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

in the Iranian context, but the scale and intensity of these protests.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

I mean, even I think sources inside US intelligence agencies have said these are significantly more widespread and violent in terms of the crackdown than any of those other rounds of protest.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

Well, so inside the CIA, it used to be the case that the operations people and the analytic people were sort of in totally separate organs of the bureaucracy, right?

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

Different silos, different directorates.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

Well, what has happened since about 2015, 2016, very Orwellian phrase, the CIA has been modernized, Gordon.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

I would argue you don't ever want to be part of an organization that's being modernized as a general rule of thumb.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

But what has happened is that the old kind of Iran operations division and what had been in my day called the Office of Near East and South Asian Analysis, Gordon, it went through many name changes since, got fused together.