David Pakman
speaker
675 appearances
7 recordings
1 series
first heard Apr 2024
last heard 18 May
David Pakman’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
Trend
recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in May 2026 with 1.
Appearances
They'll say, wait, do I write them in or what do I do?
Maybe not.
So I think that third party is going to shrink as we close in on November.
But here's like the big takeaway.
You can find 100 people to give you 150 predictions of what's going to happen.
It'll almost certainly come down to under half a million votes in fewer than five states.
2020 came down to 110,000 votes in three states.
And that means that things that haven't even happened yet are very likely to, on the fringes, make a difference.
And it's going to be extraordinarily close electorally, almost certainly.
You will almost certainly have a big popular vote win for the president.
and an electoral college that'll flip based on a quarter of a million, maybe half a million votes in some key states.
Yeah, so the economy is an interesting one because it's a bit of a lagging indicator.
What we saw was that, as all economic indicators, we're looking pretty good.
And when I say this, just so your audience knows, I'm not claiming we've solved every economic problem in the world.
I'm not saying there's no more homelessness or no more poverty or inequality by the measures that are usually used to determine how's the economy doing.
Unemployment has been very low for a sustained period of time.
GDP growth is fine.
Inflation has come way down.
Every indicator looks pretty good.
It takes a little while for that to filter through to public opinion.
Showing 261–280 of 675 · page 14 of 34
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