David Shor

And so I think that there's some kind of globalized right-wing phenomena that's happening. It's hard to know exactly what, but I agree completely. So now I just move on, you know, to the next slide. Here we have Harris support by single age year, by race and gender.

And so I think that there's some kind of globalized right-wing phenomena that's happening. It's hard to know exactly what, but I agree completely. So now I just move on, you know, to the next slide. Here we have Harris support by single age year, by race and gender.

And one of the things you can see here is if you just look at 18-year-olds, you know, 18-year-old women of color are the only of the four that Harris won. Trump narrowly won, you know, non-white men.

And one of the things you can see here is if you just look at 18-year-olds, you know, 18-year-old women of color are the only of the four that Harris won. Trump narrowly won, you know, non-white men.

It is a real shift. This is the thing I am the most shocked by, I think, in the last four years, is that young people have gone from being the most progressive generation since the baby boomers, and maybe in some ways more so, to becoming potentially the most conservative generation that we've experienced maybe in 50 to 60 years. And so, you know, the next chart, you know, just to describe it.

It is a real shift. This is the thing I am the most shocked by, I think, in the last four years, is that young people have gone from being the most progressive generation since the baby boomers, and maybe in some ways more so, to becoming potentially the most conservative generation that we've experienced maybe in 50 to 60 years. And so, you know, the next chart, you know, just to describe it.

Oh, thank you.

Oh, thank you.

I agree. This is, to me, the scariest chart in this entire presentation. And again, you know, something I'm very surprised by. So on the bottom, we have age. And at the top, we have the gender gap and support between women and men, you know, for support for Kamala Harris. And so what you can see is that, you know, for voters over 30,

I agree. This is, to me, the scariest chart in this entire presentation. And again, you know, something I'm very surprised by. So on the bottom, we have age. And at the top, we have the gender gap and support between women and men, you know, for support for Kamala Harris. And so what you can see is that, you know, for voters over 30,

The gender gap was fairly stable at around 10%, which is roughly where it's been in American politics.

The gender gap was fairly stable at around 10%, which is roughly where it's been in American politics.

Yeah, I think that a lot of people underestimate how recent the gender gap is. You know, historically, Republicans did better. with women than men. And, you know, this was true across most of the West that center-left parties did better with men than women. And, you know, that's changed in the United States in the Clinton era. But, you know, it's been stable since then.

Yeah, I think that a lot of people underestimate how recent the gender gap is. You know, historically, Republicans did better. with women than men. And, you know, this was true across most of the West that center-left parties did better with men than women. And, you know, that's changed in the United States in the Clinton era. But, you know, it's been stable since then.

But what's crazy is if you look at people who are under the age of 30, the gender gap has exploded. If you look at 18-year-olds 18-year-old men were 23 percentage points more likely to support Donald Trump than 18-year-old women, which is just completely unprecedented in American politics. Is that abortion? You know, I think it's too early to say exactly what the cause is.

But what's crazy is if you look at people who are under the age of 30, the gender gap has exploded. If you look at 18-year-olds 18-year-old men were 23 percentage points more likely to support Donald Trump than 18-year-old women, which is just completely unprecedented in American politics. Is that abortion? You know, I think it's too early to say exactly what the cause is.

What's interesting is that this is happening in other countries as well. Obviously, different countries have different political systems, but I've seen similar patterns in Canada, in the U.K., in Norway. There's a lot of research, you know, to do here. But it's still very striking. Like a lot of people talk about the Democratic young men problem.

What's interesting is that this is happening in other countries as well. Obviously, different countries have different political systems, but I've seen similar patterns in Canada, in the U.K., in Norway. There's a lot of research, you know, to do here. But it's still very striking. Like a lot of people talk about the Democratic young men problem.

And I think it's still somehow underrated because the actual numbers are just a lot worse than people think.

And I think it's still somehow underrated because the actual numbers are just a lot worse than people think.