Dr. Nicholas Wright

speaker

239 appearances 3 recordings 1 series first heard Oct 2025 last heard 6 Feb

Dr. Nicholas Wright’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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recordings per month · last 12 months

Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 3 in all, peaking in Feb 2026 with 1.

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Bannon`s War Room · WarRoom Battleground EP 943: Top Neuroscientist Deconstructs How POTUS Wrongfoots Opponents And German Elites Importing Crime · 6 Feb 2026 podcast

So the way our brains work is the whole time our brains are making predictions about the world.

So there's too much information coming in all the time for us to just sort of see it like it's on a passive television set in our brain.

The way our brains actually work is we're constantly making predictions about how the world works, what we're going to be seeing, what we're going to be doing.

We work using predictions.

Now, what happens is that when the

those predictions are wrong, right, when you expect something to happen, and it doesn't happen, or you're not expecting something, and then suddenly, it happens.

That is a prediction error.

That's a surprise.

Right?

And that those surprises are the things that change our models of the world that really affect our decision making.

Now, we can see that, for example, in two different ways now with what's happening with Iran.

So the first thing is that nobody doubts that Donald Trump is unpredictable and he could choose to do a range of different things.

As a consequence of that, people are generally going to be affected and deterred, in my opinion, although you can argue about that.

They're going to be affected by that more than somebody who is very predictable.

Now, in addition to that, we also have, for example, why is he now going to be under political pressure to do something with Iran?

And this again comes down to he's created an expectation.

We're now, you and I are literally talking about it right now, we're predicting that he's going to be doing something.

And therefore, if he doesn't do something,

then him not doing it is then a surprise.

He set up the expectation, a prediction he's going to be doing something.

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