Dr. Richard Moulange
speaker
1,784 appearances
1 recordings
1 series
first heard Mar 2026
last heard 31 Mar
Dr. Richard Moulange’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Mar 2026 with 1.
Appearances
I am worried about stealth pandemics precisely for the reason you described.
HIV was not spotted for decades.
I agree that it would be terrifying to have a much more...
a virulent virus, a virus with much higher mortality rates that could circulate for a long time, stealthily spread to everyone and then kill people.
However, I want to be skeptical of stories.
Stories I think sometimes appear in the classic AI safety literature that say, a super intelligence makes a stealth pathogen.
It spreads to everyone without anyone noticing.
Three months later, a biological switch is flipped and everyone drops dead instantly.
Thankfully, we are not there yet.
I'm more worried about mirror biology than that, because I think mirror biology we know is a thing.
I'm not sure.
We don't know whether something like that would be possible, but we should be humble.
I think I am also worried about people who say, oh, that would never happen.
Are you sure?
We have viruses in rabbits that kill more than 90% of them.
We have really awful viruses that are much worse than any pandemic we've seen yet.
Yes, there is going to trade off between transmissibility and lethality, but it is not one-to-one.
There are, if you will, lose-lose situations where you can have viruses that kill at much higher rates, but also spread.
So we should have stealth pandemic in the back of our minds as a concern, but I personally have not always been persuaded by the precise threat model that has been put in place.
It's part of the portfolio.
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