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Dwarkesh

👤 Person
1735 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research

People have asked, your co-founder and previous CEO left to go to Meta recently.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research

And people have asked, well, if there was a lot of breakthroughs being made, that seems like a thing that should have been unlikely.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research

I wonder how you respond.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research

It sounds like SSI's plan is to be a company that is at the frontier when you get to this very important period in human history where you have superhuman intelligence and you have these ideas about how to make superhuman intelligence go well.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research

But other companies will be trying their own ideas

Dwarkesh Podcast
Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research

What distinguishes SSI's approach to making superintelligence go well?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research

Speaking of forecasts, what are your forecasts to this system you're describing, which can learn as well as a human and subsequently, as a result, become superhuman?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research

I think like 5 to 20.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research

5 to 20 years?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research

So I just want to unroll your...

Dwarkesh Podcast
Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research

how you might see the world coming it's like we have a couple more years where these other companies are continuing the current approach and it stalls out and stalls out here meaning they earn no more than low hundreds of billions in revenue or how do you think about what stalling out means yeah i think the i think it could i think it could stall out and i think stalling out will look like

Dwarkesh Podcast
Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research

But something in your model implies that

Dwarkesh Podcast
Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research

when the correct solution does emerge, there will be convergence between all the companies.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research

And I'm curious why you think that's the case.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research

Well, I was talking more about convergence on their largest strategies.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research

I just want to better understand how you see the future enrolling.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research

So currently we have these different companies and you expect their approach to continue generating revenue.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research

Yes.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research

But not get to this human-like learner.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research

Yes.