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14317 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

Again, bearing in mind that average power usage in the U.S.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

is, you know, 500 gigawatts.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

So if you're launching, say, 200 gigawatts a year to space, you're sort of lapping the U.S.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

every two and a half years.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

The entire, all U.S.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

electricity production, this is a very huge amount.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

So...

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

But between now and then, the constraint for server-side compute, concentrated compute, will be electricity.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

My guess is that people will start getting a point where they can't turn the chips on for large clusters towards the end of this year.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

The chips are going to be piling up and won't be able to be turned on.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

Now, for edge computers, it's a different story.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

For Tesla, the AI5 chip is going into our Optimus robot.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

Optimistic.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

And so if you have an AI edge compute, that's distributed power.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

Now the power is distributed over a large area.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

It's not concentrated.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

And if you can charge at night, you can actually use the grid much more effectively.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

Because the actual peak power production in the US is over 1,000 gigawatts.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

But the average power usage because the day-night cycle is 500.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

So if you can charge at night, there's an incremental 500 gigawatts that you can generate at night.