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14317 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

But you're currently limited on TSMC fab capacity.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

Yeah.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

And we'll be using TSMC Taiwan, Samsung Korea, TSMC Arizona, Samsung Texas.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

And we still can't- You've booked out all the, yeah, capacity you can.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

Yes.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

And then if I ask TSMC or Samsung, okay, what's the timeframe to get to volume production?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

The point is you've got to build the fab and you've got to start production, then you've got to climb the yield curve.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

and reach volume production at high yield.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

That, from start to finish, is a five year period.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

And so the limiting factor is chips.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

The limiting factor once you can get to space is chips, but the limiting factor before you can get to space would be power.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

What's going on?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

They're building fabs as fast as they can.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

And so is Samsung.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

like they're pedal to the metal.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

I mean, they're going, you know, balls to the wall, you know, as fast as they can.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

So still not fast enough.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

I mean, like I said, there will be, I think, if you say, I think towards the end of this year, I think probably chip production will outpace the ability to turn chips on.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

But once you can get to space and unlock the power constraint,

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

And you can now do, you know, hundreds of gigawatts per year of power in space.