Elon Musk
👤 SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
And you avoid the cost of having batteries to carry you through the night.
So it's actually much cheaper to do in space.
And my prediction is that
it will be by far the cheapest place to put AI will be space in 36 months or less, maybe 30 months.
36 months?
Less than 36 months.
Actually, it depends on how recent the GPUs are that have arrived.
I mean, at this point, we've found our GPUs to be quite reliable.
There's infrared mortality, which you can obviously iron out on the ground.
So you can just run them on the ground and confirm that you don't have infrared mortality with the GPUs.
But once they start working, their actual reliability
Once they start working and you're past the initial debug cycle of NVIDIA or whatever, or whoever's making the chips, could be Tesla AI6 chips or something like that, or it could be TPUs or traniums or whatever, the rivalries actually, they're quite reliable past a certain point.
So I don't think the servicing thing is an issue.
But you can mark my words, in 36 months, but probably closer to 30 months, the most economically compelling place to put AI will be space.
And then it will get ridiculously better to be in space.
And then the scaling, the only place you can really scale is space.
Once you start thinking in terms of what percentage of the sun's power are you harnessing, you realize you have to go to space.
You can't scale very much on Earth.
But by very much, to be clear, you're talking like terawatts.
Yeah.