Galen Druke

speaker

215 appearances 1 recordings 1 series first heard Sep 2026 last heard 2d ago

Galen Druke’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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recordings per month · last 12 months

Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Sep 2026 with 1.

Appearances

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What A Day · Should You Trust Midterm Polling? · 24 Sep 2026 podcast

I was gonna say I left it at home, but you know, that wouldn't be honest.

It's in my closet.

I can't find it.

It's buried somewhere.

It's it's so hard.

And here's the thing.

There will be almost certainly error in the polls that we are seeing right now.

That comes with the game.

We should expect the average error in statewide races like Senate governor in a general election is four or five points.

So we should expect the polls to be off.

I can't tell you which direction they're going to be off in, though.

If the polls are underestimating Democrats, the polls that already look pretty good for them, they're underestimating Democrats.

Yeah, this is 2006.

I mean, 2006 might even be putting it lightly.

I mean, we're seeing not just Democrats winning Kansas, we we're seeing them compete in South Carolina, maybe Mississippi, and picking up Nebraska, right?

In the Senate at least.

Now, if the polls are overestimating Democrats by four or five points, the Senate is off the table.

Republicans are keeping the Senate, and the House is probably still in play, but we might have to wait until you know California finishes counting all of its votes in order to be certain of who controls the House.

And you know, that's not even quite like 2018.

That's maybe even a little bit closer to like 2022, although, you know, the reverse in terms of who was the out party.

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