George Friedman

speaker

3,185 appearances 9 recordings 1 series first heard Jun 2026 last heard 13 Aug

George Friedman’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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recordings per month · last 12 months

Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 9 in all, peaking in Jun 2026 with 4.

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Talking Geopolitics · Iran's Nuclear Gamble and Trump's Midterm Countdown · 30 Jul 2026 podcast

Could they survive capitulation is a better question.

or reaching an accommodation that is far short of what it is.

I remind you that, and it's critical, when there was in the streets demonstrations in Tehran, this force shot down all these people.

Do not underestimate the ruthlessness of the Iranians for their own people.

So at a normal war, what you try to do is convince the public that the war is lost.

or convince the public the war is not worth the price and get opposition.

Iran, in its actions that it did up to this point, demonstrated that that is not going to be helpful for you and your health and your longevity.

So the hope that you hit them hard enough economically so they are forced to capitulate,

I don't think understands the fanaticism of the IRGC.

They are prepared for this.

They will do anything they need to.

So unlike other countries in which we fought, where we thought we could separate the population from the government and never did successfully, this is a very hard thing to do in Iran.

This regime, even if it's hated by everyone,

is very powerful, very committed, very ideological, and utterly ruthless.

So trying to push that knife into the economy, if they're going to kill 10, 20, 30,000 people before the war, what will they do after it?

So I don't believe that attacking infrastructure and limiting their economy

is likely to compel them to give up.

And in any case, they're betting that Trump has more to lose by continuing the war than they have.

Well, it would take years to have a proper effect, but putting a blockade on in this day and age of drones and missiles, of which the Iranians seem to be able to produce quite a few,

is very dangerous.

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