Hannah Barnes
speaker
509 appearances
22 recordings
1 series
first heard Mar 2011
last heard Oct 2013
Hannah Barnes’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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Appearances
It's set during the 1976 season and features plenty of this.
but also some questionable statistical claims.
Daniel Bruhl playing Formula One great Niki Lauda there.
And Niki Lauda was, of course, horribly injured at the Nürburgring in 1976.
So the sport was dangerous.
Still, a 20% chance of death every time you get into a car?
That really bothered me.
So much so that I went to the experts.
First, Formula One superfan and author of all the races and analysing Formula One, Roger Smith.
Yeah, and I even managed to reach Nicky Louder himself.
Well, I got a message to his team, yeah, and they replied.
He says it was a rhetorical statement rather than a precise statistical calculation.
Yeah, I know, Tim.
But I still wanted to know what the actual numbers were.
And I came straight out of the cinema and got on to our good friend at the UK's Open University, Professor of Applied Statistics, Kevin McConway.
And the results of his work are quite shocking –
If we take the decade leading up to the year the film is set in, 1976, drivers had a third of a percent chance of dying each time they competed in a Grand Prix.
which includes any practice and qualifying sessions.
Now, that's a lot less than 20% any time you get into a car.
But across a Formula One season, the chance of death rises to 4.4%.
Showing 81–100 of 509 · page 5 of 26
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