Harriet Torry

speaker
611 appearances 11 recordings 1 series first heard Sep 2017 last heard Dec 2024

Harriet Torry’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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And there are numerous reasons for this, but the overriding reason was the Fed raising interest rates.
They've raised rates very sharply, very quickly to a 22-year high.
And I think most people just thought, okay, consumers are going to buckle eventually.
Housing loans are getting much more expensive.
Auto loans are much more expensive.
People are running down their pandemic savings.
Exactly.
But at the same time, what we've seen is that the labour market has stayed really strong.
And that means, you know, more people getting jobs, people getting wage increases, and that has enabled them to keep spending.
And that has come as a surprise.
I think just the strength of the consumer.
over these past few months.
And they've also been helped by the fact that inflation has cooled a lot.
It's come down from its highs of last summer.
We have some other things that are going on in the economy as well.
You know, we've seen bond yields, which through the tightening of financial conditions that that implies, that kind of helps the Fed maybe stay on hold.
But inflation is still not back where the Fed wants it to be.
Well, I think that the Fed is going to stress its data dependence.
And the Fed always stresses its data dependence.
That's not something that's like particularly new.
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