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Haseeb

đŸ‘€ Speaker
1106 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Bankless
ROLLUP: Bitcoin’s Confidence Game | Bitmine’s ETH Bet | Token Rotation | U.S. Perps

and they blow past the 5% threshold, they do probably have to start thinking about this, about what does it mean when you are now, with the EF stepping back, with consensus not really being anywhere near the scale now of what Bitmine is, and all the other DATs being quite a bit smaller than Bitmine, and Bitmine now having access to the bigger levers within capital markets, like being able to issue preferreds that are stretch style, that may mean that they just

Bankless
ROLLUP: Bitcoin’s Confidence Game | Bitmine’s ETH Bet | Token Rotation | U.S. Perps

rocket their way to becoming by far the largest single holder of ETH.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Bitcoin’s Confidence Game | Bitmine’s ETH Bet | Token Rotation | U.S. Perps

And when that happens, things might get trickier relative to what it is today, where it's a pure financial play.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Bitcoin’s Confidence Game | Bitmine’s ETH Bet | Token Rotation | U.S. Perps

I mean, I think it's hard to describe these as Ponzi's.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Bitcoin’s Confidence Game | Bitmine’s ETH Bet | Token Rotation | U.S. Perps

A Ponzi is guaranteed to fail, right?

Bankless
ROLLUP: Bitcoin’s Confidence Game | Bitmine’s ETH Bet | Token Rotation | U.S. Perps

That's why we call it, that's why it's a crime to run a Ponzi scheme.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Bitcoin’s Confidence Game | Bitmine’s ETH Bet | Token Rotation | U.S. Perps

These are clearly not guaranteed to fail.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Bitcoin’s Confidence Game | Bitmine’s ETH Bet | Token Rotation | U.S. Perps

They might fail, but they're not guaranteed to fail.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Bitcoin’s Confidence Game | Bitmine’s ETH Bet | Token Rotation | U.S. Perps

You know, even over a very long time horizon, you know, if Bitcoin, like Bitcoin would probably never be worth $1,000 ever again, right?

Bankless
ROLLUP: Bitcoin’s Confidence Game | Bitmine’s ETH Bet | Token Rotation | U.S. Perps

So if you take a very small amount of leverage on Bitcoin, such that you will get margin call if it goes below $1,000, right?

Bankless
ROLLUP: Bitcoin’s Confidence Game | Bitmine’s ETH Bet | Token Rotation | U.S. Perps

there's a very good chance that that just continues forever.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Bitcoin’s Confidence Game | Bitmine’s ETH Bet | Token Rotation | U.S. Perps

You have now perpetually taken on leverage and you will never get margin called and the Ponzi will never collapse.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Bitcoin’s Confidence Game | Bitmine’s ETH Bet | Token Rotation | U.S. Perps

Now, if you take on the Ponzi, quote unquote, if you take on, you know, 300% leverage and if Bitcoin ever goes below 65, it's over.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Bitcoin’s Confidence Game | Bitmine’s ETH Bet | Token Rotation | U.S. Perps

Then okay, that's very, very likely to collapse.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Bitcoin’s Confidence Game | Bitmine’s ETH Bet | Token Rotation | U.S. Perps

And if you just look at the historical vol of Bitcoin, like that's a risky proposition.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Bitcoin’s Confidence Game | Bitmine’s ETH Bet | Token Rotation | U.S. Perps

But, you know, if you took that thing when Bitcoin was at,

Bankless
ROLLUP: Bitcoin’s Confidence Game | Bitmine’s ETH Bet | Token Rotation | U.S. Perps

Bitcoin never visited a thousand again.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Bitcoin’s Confidence Game | Bitmine’s ETH Bet | Token Rotation | U.S. Perps

So, you know, it's so I think Ponzi, not Ponzi is just the wrong frame to be thinking about this.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Bitcoin’s Confidence Game | Bitmine’s ETH Bet | Token Rotation | U.S. Perps

Like it's kind of too binary or too simplistic.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Bitcoin’s Confidence Game | Bitmine’s ETH Bet | Token Rotation | U.S. Perps

These are risky bets.