Hussein Ibish
speaker
241 appearances
4 recordings
3 series
first heard May 2025
last heard 26 May
Hussein Ibish’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 3 in all, peaking in May 2026 with 1.
Appearances
Iran is the kind of outsider here.
And so it's possible that the Iranians will calculate that they can survive a month of a blockaded port altogether more easily than the global economy.
So it becomes another weird face-off.
Yeah, it's the great weakness of the policy is that it may be more costly to the global economy than it is to the Iranian economy.
Well, look, here's what I think.
Another thing that Donald Trump has probably convinced the Iranian government of is that they need to get hold of a nuclear weapon as soon as possible because they will be contrasting their recent experience at the hands of the US and Israel, plus that of Saddam Hussein's Iraq, plus that of Muammar Gaddafi's Libya, with the way in which Donald Trump and others treat North Korea.
which has an independent nuclear deterrent and which does not get attacked like this, they are going to have to, I think, calculate that they need to focus on somehow figuring out in the next few years how to get to nuclear weapons status.
And it is the American aim to absolutely prevent that.
So you definitely have an absolute collision course.
On the other hand, there are many conflicts that are not resolved here.
you can see how the current situation, the war as it's shaping up, is leading almost inexorably towards one of these open-ended stalemates where
The larger power, you know, sort of ends the fighting, but reserves the right to come back and does on a routine basis every six months, nine months, a year or so attacks again.
The smaller power then retaliates in whatever way it can.
And this happens repeatedly over time.
It's the relationship the U.S.
had with Saddam Hussein's Iraq in the 1990s.
And that's exactly the kind of so-called forever war.
that Trump said he would never get into, but it really would bear all the hallmarks of that without actually necessitating boots on the ground.
The New York Times report, which was very well done,
explained how and when Netanyahu and leaders of Mossad and other Israeli agencies kind of approached Trump and said, now's the time.
Showing 141–160 of 241 · page 8 of 13
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