Jason Zweig

speaker

906 appearances 17 recordings 1 series first heard Jan 2018 last heard Sep 2022

Jason Zweig’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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WSJ Your Money Briefing · You Can Time the Market, But There's a Catch · 17 Sep 2018 podcast

I mean, US stocks, if I remember right, were valued at something like 44 times their inflation-adjusted average 10-year earnings. matched

It's just the highest level of valuation since matched

the late 1920s. matched

And Robert Shiller, an economist at Yale who later won the Nobel Prize, pointed out how overvalued stocks were. matched

It wasn't obvious to everybody at the time, but the numbers were there. matched

That's a clear turning point. matched

But even in the financial crisis of 2008 and 2009, stocks did not reach the kinds of lows they did in 1974 and in 1982. matched

The average PE on US stocks never fell as low as it had in previous crashes. matched

And a lot of people were waiting for that historic low point to be matched or exceeded. matched

and stood back and missed much or all of the recovery as a result. matched

I think every investor in U.S. matched

equities should be fully prepared to lose 50% of your money at any given time. matched

If you're not, you probably own too much stock for your own good and you probably have unrealistic expectations. matched

The other thing is if you do have a strong conviction that stocks are overvalued based on the enthusiasm you see other people displaying, matched

then you could sort of shade or reduce your exposure to the equity market. matched

But going either all in at the peak or all out at the bottom or at any other point going all in or all out, matched

is a pretty risky bet because most of the time those all-in and all-out bets will be proven wrong. matched

WSJ Your Money Briefing · When Your Robo Investor Has a Mind of Its Own · 22 May 2018 podcast

I'm J.R. voice-verified

Yeah, that's correct. voice-verified

There's a new fund that came out in January called Wealthfront Risk Parity Fund. voice-verified

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