Jonathan V. Last

post-apocalyptic.

So we've seen in like almost like zombie apocalypse level collapses for Trump within both voters 18 to 35 and Hispanic voters over the last 10 months.

And some of the Hispanic polling suggested he had lost like 45 points with Hispanic voters, which seemed crazy, right?

Except that it shows up in a lot of surveys.

And this was the first test of, well, is it, can you see it in the wild as well?

And it turned out

Turns out you can.

And so that, I think, is a little bit of confirmation.

It's going to make polling 2026 really hard.

Right.

Because polls are always modeled on the things that have happened reasonably close before them when there are big shifts happening, especially big shifts happening very quickly.

It's hard for models to catch up with them.

Yeah.

It's one of the reasons why Cittarelli like really his polls were way out of whack with where he actually performed in Jersey.

And it was because of Hispanic voters.

The best he could hope for is that the Supreme Court overrules tariffs.

He'll just declare victory.

We're going to say, see, it worked.

The tariffs worked.

I got all the best deals.