Jude Jaffe-Block
speaker
125 appearances
14 recordings
2 series
first heard May 2025
last heard 11 Jun
Jude Jaffe-Block’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 13 in all, peaking in Nov 2025 with 4.
Appearances
mayor's race, and he shared a Kalshi post that showed Pratt's odds of making it to the runoff election have been falling on the betting site.
Freeman added commentary that said...
is California cheating to get Spencer Pratt out?
And that post had a paid partnership logo on it, which means he's getting paid for it by Kalshi.
My colleague Bobby Allen asked Kalshi about that post and others like it from other influencers they have partnerships with.
Kalshi got back to us on Friday afternoon and told us they were asking Freeman and other influencers who have made similar posts to take them down because they violated their policies.
We never heard back from Polymarket, which operates mostly offshore and is less regulated.
But there are a number of influencers with Polymarket partnerships who are also sowing doubt about the L.A.
mayoral election while promoting Polymarket, and those posts are still up.
And I should say there's not been evidence of misconduct in this election.
But one kind of allegation we're seeing is people pointing to changes in betting market odds on prediction sites to try and suggest those fluctuations and those graphs are some kind of evidence of something suspicious when they just reflect betting behavior.
Well, yeah, here in California, everyone gets a mail ballot.
And this election, a lot of people held on to their ballots until the last day.
And the process for verifying those vote by mail ballots take longer than those cast in person.
Also, historically, the ballots that get counted later in the process skew more Democratic.
And that's been a source for conspiracy theories for years now.
But those kinds of explanations rarely get the same kind of attention online as allegations of fraud.
And there's also an extra layer of potential confusion when it comes to posts about races on prediction markets because these posts announce that a candidate's odds have fallen to 8% or surged to 72%.
And they're talking about the betting market odds of whether someone will win or lose, not what the actual ballot count says.
But not everyone is understanding that.
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