Julian Rademeyer
speaker
116 appearances
5 recordings
1 series
first heard Dec 2013
last heard Jan 2015
Julian Rademeyer’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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Appearances
Julian Rademeyer of Africa Check.
There's old data, World Bank models and data taken from the International Labour Organization that puts unemployment at as low as 4%, which is ludicrous.
Opposition figures have suggested it's as high as 95%.
Robert Mugabe, ZANU-PF, has said in their election manifesto that it stands at 60%.
Of that number, 84% were employed in the informal sector, and only 11%, or 606,000, were in formal employment.
What that means is that the bulk of the people that Simstat's considered to be employed were actually employed in the informal sector, where many of them were subsistence farmers, small-time traders, people that other Southern African countries no longer class as employed.
Essentially it inflates the employment figures for the country and it gives an unrealistic idea of what employment levels are like there.
The problem and the fundamental flaw in his arguments is that he's taking a very race-based view of crime in South Africa.
McCafferty had looked at the crime research that has been done in South Africa, added up the numbers of murders that had taken place over various years and aggregated 44 years of murder numbers to reach an average of 7,000 murders a year under apartheid and a much higher murder rate in post-apartheid South Africa.
The fundamental problem there, though, is that McCafferty, despite stating this in his research, that factors such as population growth, differentials in time periods should be taken into account and that it would be unfair to make a comparison if you didn't take those factors into account, then went ahead and did exactly that.
He didn't take population growth into account.
And the raw numbers look a lot more frightening than the reality if you break it down with the international standard of looking at murder rates per 100,000 of the population.
I don't think there's any real research that has successfully managed to put a finger on the exact reasoning for the violence behind some crimes.
But certainly, South Africa is a country that is skewed by massive disparities in wealth.
It's a country that is still battling with the historical legacy of apartheid.
And the massive damage that apartheid did, you know, here was a system that ruthlessly set out to divide people.
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