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Kelvin Davidson

Kelvin Davidson

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
1066 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

They're really strong in the market.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

The mortgage multiple property owners

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

sort of hanging around that 25% mark, 24%, pretty normal for them.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

So, you know, again, there's a bit of balance there.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

Some things supportive, some things a little bit more concerning for investors, you know, higher council rates, insurance, really, really soft rents.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

So there's supports for them, but also challenges.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

And I guess the other big group we look at is movers or the relocating owner occupiers.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

uh a bit of seasonal variability in those numbers they dip back a bit in february after a reasonably strong january but you know sort of trucking along again so the the same old stories that have been in place for bioclassification i guess for a while are still sort of there um

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

I'm still keeping an eye on movers.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

I think there's the scope there for them to come back to the market this year as and when the economy recovers.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

And yep, there's a bit more uncertainty about that now.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

But if we do see that slow economic upturn this year, then movers should get a bit more confidence to relocate.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

And I think we'll start to see them taking a bigger share of the market.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

Right now, they're still a bit quieter than normal.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

Those first-time buyers are really active, and I suppose you'd call mortgaged investors sort of somewhere in the middle.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

So that's kind of the percentage shares.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

Now, in terms of number of deals, the overall market activity levels, they have been trending higher for, what, three years now, really?

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

Just a wee bit of sluggishness, I guess you'd say, in January and February when you look at the sales compared back to the same month last year.

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

uh january was down eight percent and february was down seven percent now they're not big collapses and there's there's a sense there might be a timing issue in here it looks like december was was pretty strong so maybe some deals were pulled forward if they could be people sort of rushed through but you know there's a limit to how much that can really explain february's number could you really rush through deals for that might have otherwise happened in february can you really rush that through into december i mean it seems a bit hard to believe so

The NZ Property Market Podcast
Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

And it's not necessarily the start of a new downwards trend either, but yeah, just a soft patch for sales in the first couple of months of the year.