Kevin McConway

speaker
100 appearances 3 recordings 1 series first heard Aug 2011 last heard Mar 2015

Kevin McConway’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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If you restrict yourself to looking at teams that have actually been in the premiership for a lot of seasons during the 13 I looked at, the best one is Liverpool and the second best one is Chelsea.
And then we get to Man Utd and Arsenal.
So
It's sort of the usual suspects.
It's teams that are doing well generally on average over a number of seasons.
Well, I know who's right.
I'm afraid it's the wife and not the husband.
The point is that Julie's quite right that no number is preferred in the lottery.
That is, when the balls fall out of the machine they have and so on, it's not that any one of them is more likely to come out than any other one.
And it's also not true that if a particular number's come out, that affects the chances of all the other ones coming out afterwards.
And that's essentially a property of how the lottery machines work, and they're kind of checked, and lots of people keep an eye on this.
So that's pretty well exactly true as far as anyone can tell.
Now, under those conditions, it means that any set of six numbers is just as likely to come out as any other set of six numbers.
And what's kind of different, though, is the way that we see those numbers, and perhaps that's what's confusing the husband in this case.
It's very, very small.
It's about 1 in 13 million, but the same goes for every other set of numbers as well.
It doesn't seem remarkable.
It doesn't seem remarkable because the numbers don't look particularly special.
They kind of, in that, the example you just gave, they look random, whereas 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, or...
7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13 or something like that kind of don't look random and you kind of think there must be something special about this as a kind of random process so how can it give up sets of numbers that don't look random?
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