Krystal Ball
๐ค SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
And that's J.D.
Vance's new line.
It's like, oh, I think it's just a misunderstanding.
No, you all are trying to go back on your word.
Why?
Because apparently you never, ever can stand up to Israel.
And so now this whole thing hangs in the balance.
I mean, it's collapsing in real time as we watch.
I think we're gonna learn more about the role of China in all of this, potentially on both sides.
I mean, carrots to Iran and also, look, our entire industrial base hangs in the balance based on China's good graces of whether or not we're gonna have access to their rare earth supply and all the supply lines that they have sort of like locked down, at least for the near term, because we haven't done the work that we need to do to make sure we have our own domestic capabilities with that regard.
So I think we'll learn more about China's role here.
But according to Jeremy, and I listen to him obviously with great interest, by the way, shout out to Dropsite.
Anyone who's reading Dropsite knows so much more of how this is gonna go and what the truth is than I think anyone else in the world.
But in any case, Jeremy says, effectively, the Iranians have always said, yeah, we're willing to end the war.
Here are our demands.
And so when the US was like, okay, we accept your demands, at least as a basis for negotiation,
and you have China coming in and they're genuinely taking a lot of heat and under pressure, et cetera, there was a sense of, okay, well, let's give it a shot and let's see.
But Lebanon, all of the fronts of war were very clearly included.
And obviously we know that Israel does not want to end this war.
They're doing everything they can.