Luke Tryl

speaker

394 appearances 2 recordings 1 series first heard Sep 2026 last heard 6d ago

Luke Tryl’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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recordings per month · last 12 months

Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 2 in all, peaking in Sep 2026 with 2.

Appearances

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The News Agents · After the Reform scandal - does anyone still trust pollsters? · 18 Sep 2026 podcast

Interestingly, I think

And then how do you correct for that?

And then but how do you correct for it?

What is the right way?

Is it that, you know, for instance, one argument that I think some people made is that in 2024 panels didn't have enough rich Tories on them.

to go on with a better word, because they were incentivised.

The incentives, even the avios, weren't enough for them.

So you don't bother to pick

For others, it might be that you don't have enough non-graduates who are going to vote for parties of the right on, and they're not signing up to panels.

pollsters oh undoubtedly because even harder than working out who people will vote for is working out who will actually turn out and vote it is because again people overestimate right they everyone wants to seem virtuous and so they say

voting and then so then you might do to try and counter that you ask people do you normally vote in local elections and

Which can help, except for reform voters, one of the things we found in last year's local elections was reform voters were the most likely to say that they ordinarily didn't vote, but most likely to say they were going to vote this time.

And so as pollsters, you go, OK, maybe we discount that bit.

were growing the electorate.

So again, you've got to keep on top.

and keep innovating and try and get to the right solution.

The News Agents · Another Reform scandal: Is Farage finished? · 4 Sep 2026 podcast

this conference, this time last year, looking at our data, reform were heading towards the mid-30s.

You know, it was big majority territory, because we know in a fragmented system, you don't need the 45% you used to.

Just getting into the 30s would have been enough.

You know, the idea of Nigel Farage as Prime Minister seemed to be coming more and more likely.

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