Marius Hobbhahn
speaker
481 appearances
1 recordings
1 series
first heard Sep 2024
last heard Sep 2024
Marius Hobbhahn’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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And it feels I mean, a lot of the theory is fairly negative, right?
It's like all of these thoughts of takeover and doom and instrumental convergence and so on.
If this is the trajectory that we're on, then I don't know, it doesn't feel
It it doesn't feel great, but also my my intuition, at least from the empirical evidence we have so far, is it at least feels possible to get this right.
And I think it's more more like
Can the world get its act together and invest enough money and time and resources and act reasonable like adults in the room whenever it gets like really intense?
But yeah, overall I feel like this particular model is not super scary.
It is the trajectory that it implies that is more scary.
Yeah, yeah, okay.
This is very speculative right now, but it can give you my intuition, which is
We are now starting to do outcome-based RL training for these models.
They will we will make this training over longer and longer periods of time.
And I feel like this is really where.
like stuff gets real in the sense that I feel like there's always this kind of like competition between a couple of different factors.
The first one is you want your model to be aligned.
You want it to be ATH age and that makes it nice and helpful, etc.
And then there's this other factor where you wanted to get shit done in the real world.
Like you wanted to do research.
You wanted to do
To create something of economic value, you wanted to do long-run auto uh automatic tasks.
Showing 401–420 of 481 · page 21 of 25
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